Arsenal head to the City Ground trying to preserve tempo with Premier League leaders Manchester City, however within the information that in 4 of the final 5 visits to Nottingham Forest, they’ve not even obtained on the scoresheet.
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Indeed, the final two fixtures in Nottingham between the 2 groups noticed 40 photographs at objective, but each matches ended goalless.
Glasner has gained just one league match with Forest
Forest themselves have failed to attain in every of their final 4 matches in opposition to the North Londoners, and moreover, have gained solely one in all their final 11 league conferences in opposition to them, drawing two extra and shedding the opposite eight.
With the Midlands-based aspect languishing in fifteenth place, they might actually do with three factors, although Oliver Glasner has solely managed one win within the league along with his new aspect and, in actual fact, has gained solely 5 English top-flight matches in his final 29 (D9, L15).
Though he obtained a heat welcome again at Selhurst Park final week when Forest took on Crystal Palace, the guests slumped to a 3-1 defeat.
That was regardless of Forest having 24 photographs within the match and racking up 3.36 anticipated objectives (xG). Eight massive probabilities have been probably the most by any staff that went on to lose since Blackburn‘s recreation in opposition to Newcastle United in February 2012.
English Premier League
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Set-piece prowess has abandoned Arsenal
Glasner will relish the potential of testing himself in opposition to Mikel Arteta, although, notably because the Gunners have one other Champions League task just some days after this match in opposition to Bayern Munich, and that might have an effect on the Spaniard’s staff choice.
Arteta’s aspect have been famend for his or her set-piece prowess, and but in 2026/27, this space of their collective recreation has been sorely missing and might be one other space for Glasner to use.
In reality, the guests have not managed to attain a non-penalty set-piece objective in six league video games this season, and one other failure to take action on this recreation will equal their longest such drought (a seven-match run from January to March 2025).
If Forest do wish to upset the percentages and earn three factors, then their attacking gamers must do a lot, a lot better in entrance of objective.
Delap’s lack of output
Just 5 objectives scored in six matches is the joint second-worst output in your entire division, with Dan Ndoye being the one Forest participant to attain greater than as soon as.
Liam Delap, Igor Jesus and Morgan Gibbs-White have only one objective every, and Delap’s unbelievable miss at Palace completely encompasses their scoring woes this season.
His conversion charge is 7.1% from 14 photographs in 26/27, and simply two efforts have been on track. For a participant who value the Tricky Trees a club-record price within the area of £50m, that is a horrible return.
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Gibbs-White can no less than maintain his head excessive, on condition that he has created extra probabilities within the high flight (17) than another participant bar Brighton and Hove Albion’s Pascal Gross (18).
15 open-play probabilities created, seven massive probabilities created and 1.87 xA (anticipated assists), see him main these metrics forward of another participant within the division, too.
That, then, brings into sharp focus simply how poor his attacking teammates have been, and a significant purpose why Forest discover themselves struggling on the fallacious finish of the Premier League.
Arsenal have gained 14 of their final 17 league video games
Interestingly, if Gibbs-White and his colleagues can get off to a superb begin, they could have wealthy pickings on this match.
That’s as a result of Arsenal have gone behind in three of their final 4 league video games, which is as many as within the earlier 25 mixed.
To give context as to simply how troublesome an task this might be for the hosts, nonetheless, they are going to be taking part in a Gunners aspect which have gained 14 of their final 17 Premier League video games (L3).
Nine of these victories have been by one objective, and over the previous two seasons, they’ve gained 17 matches by a one-goal margin, which is probably the most out of any staff within the high 5 leagues in Europe.
They are beatable, as Brighton confirmed just lately after they deservedly gained 3-0, although these types of outcomes are actually the exception relatively than the rule.
In order for any staff to beat Arsenal lately, they must work for it, and given the Gunners’ latest report, that is simpler stated than completed for his or her opponents.
Glasner would possibly level to Forest’s per-game averages within the Premier League for anticipated objectives (1.72 xG), touches within the opposition’s field (27.3), photographs (17.7), and massive probabilities (3.5) being their finest in any of the final 5 seasons, however that counts for nothing if they cannot translate such constructive figures into wins.
Jason Pettigrove has been the options author for Flashscore since 2025, utilising Opta knowledge to type the premise of his articles. He has beforehand labored for high-profile soccer golf equipment, information and media retailers, each in print and digital, and may often be discovered watching FC Barcelona when time permits. You can read more of his pieces here.
