Ahead of the 2027 normal elections, a brand new opinion ballot by NU Northstar Research, has indicated that the All Progressives Congress (APC) governorship and senatorial candidates in Kwara State are clearly forward of their opponents within the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).
The ballot, which coated 30,000 registered voters throughout the 16 native authorities areas and 193 wards within the state, positioned the APC governorship candidate, Engr. Yakubu Danladi-Salihu, forward of his PDP counterpart,Engr. Kawu Sulaiman Bolakale, with 63 p.c in opposition to 34 p.c amongst voters who had indicated their most well-liked candidates.
The findings, signed by the analysis agency’s Head of Research, Ebuka Iloh, adopted interviews performed between September 2 and October 20, 2026.
According to the survey, Danladi-Salihu additionally led in all of the three senatorial districts and the 16 native authorities areas. His strongest exhibiting was recorded in Kwara North, the place he secured 71 p.c help in opposition to Bolakale’s 26 p.c amongst determined voters.
In Kwara Central, the APC candidate polled 56 p.c in opposition to 41 p.c for the PDP candidate, whereas the competition was nearer in Ilorin West, Bolakale’s residence native authorities, the place Danladi-Salihu led by 51 p.c to 46 p.c.
However, the ballot confirmed {that a} important variety of voters had been but to determine their most well-liked candidates. Among the complete voters surveyed, Danladi-Salihu secured 43 p.c, Bolakale 24 per cent, whereas 31 per cent had been undecided or declined to reveal their desire.
Hon. Zakari Mohammed of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) polled one p.c, whereas Ridwan Apaokagi of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) recorded lower than one per cent.
The survey recognized 135 wards the place the APC candidate maintained clear leads, whereas 58 wards had been thought-about too near name. Kwara South had the best proportion of undecided voters at 43 p.c, in contrast with 28 p.c in Kwara Central and 24 p.c in Kwara North.
It additional confirmed that every one six native authorities areas the place undecided voters exceeded 40 p.c had been in Kwara South. Among younger voters aged between 18 and 29, 37 p.c had been but to determine their most well-liked candidates.
The senatorial contests additionally favoured the APC candidates, in response to the ballot. In Kwara Central, Governor AbdulRahman AbdulRazaq, the APC candidate, led the PDP candidate and incumbent senator, Saliu Mustapha, by 62 p.c to 33 p.c amongst determined voters.
In Kwara South, the APC’s Olalekan Adewoye polled 60 p.c in opposition to 36 p.c for the PDP candidate, Saheed Popoola, whereas Mahmud Umar Muhammad of the APC led Kolo Baba Jiya of the PDP by 65 p.c to 31 per cent in Kwara North.
On voting patterns, 64 p.c of respondents mentioned they supposed to vote for candidates of the identical political social gathering in each the governorship and senatorial elections. Fifteen per cent indicated that they could cut up their votes, whereas 21 per cent remained unsure.
The analysis group mentioned it used phone interviews, street-level interviews and on-line questionnaires to assemble knowledge on voting intentions, authorities efficiency and points affecting communities.
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